🛡️ The Portfolio Protectors (Hedges & Bearish Bets)
(No trades in this category today)
1. CRWD ($476.53) – The Cybersecurity Reversal
We’re betting on: If CrowdStrike sustains its bullish momentum following a six-month consolidation, the stock will continue its breakout trajectory toward our $550 target and remain safely above our short put strike.
The Trade: Sell to Open the CRWD Jun 18, 2026 470/430 Put Vertical @ $14.95 Credit.
🟢 BUY TO OPEN Jun 18, 2026 430 Put @ $14.55
🔴 SELL TO OPEN Jun 18, 2026 470 Put @ $29.50
Trade Metrics: POP: 56.32% | Collect $1,495.00 per contract vs. a Max Risk of $2,505.00 (1.6:1).
The Setup: CrowdStrike has underperformed over the past six months but is now showing strong signs of recovery, with 1M and 6M trends officially turning Bullish. Relative strength is building as the stock breaks above $450, clearing the path toward a $550 upside target. Fundamentally, CrowdStrike is benefiting heavily from enterprise cybersecurity consolidation. As IT budgets tighten, CISOs are abandoning fragmented legacy systems in favor of unified, AI-driven architectures like the Falcon platform. This put spread allows us to capture rich premium while leaning on the newly established technical floor.
Management:
⚠️ Warning: Earnings is scheduled for Jun 09, 2026, which requires active management.
Stop Loss: Buy back the spread at $29.90 (100% of credit received).
Take Profit: Buy back the spread at $7.48 (50% of max gain).
2. EL ($82.85) – The Beauty Turnaround
We’re betting on: If Estee Lauder’s margin recovery plan accelerates and it holds its recent moving average breakout, the stock will surge into our target profit zone.
The Trade: Buy to Open the EL Jul 17, 2026 80/95 Call Vertical @ $5.67 Debit.
🟢 BUY TO OPEN Jul 17, 2026 80 Call @ $7.90
🔴 SELL TO OPEN Jul 17, 2026 95 Call @ $2.23
Trade Metrics: POP: 39.53% | Pay $567.00 per contract vs. a Max Reward of $933.00 (1.6:1).
The Setup: Estee Lauder recently broke above its $80 resistance level and reclaimed its 50-day moving average, signaling a potent bearish-to-bullish trend reversal. The technicals align perfectly with a fundamental inflection point: the worst of the Asia travel retail destocking cycle appears to be ending, and domestic inventory levels are finally normalizing. As management’s aggressive profit recovery and cost-cutting initiatives begin to materialize in the margins, this long call spread offers an excellent risk/reward ratio to target a move toward $90.
Management:
Stop Loss: Sell the spread at $2.84 (50% loss on premium).
Take Profit: Sell the spread at $9.92 (75% gain on premium).
3. IBIT ($46.28) – Accelerating Crypto Adoption
We’re betting on: If sustained institutional inflows and a tightening supply dynamic continue to drive Bitcoin higher, this ETF will quickly push past overhead resistance toward our upside target.
The Trade: Buy to Open the IBIT Jun 18, 2026 47/52 Call Vertical @ $1.57 Debit.
🟢 BUY TO OPEN Jun 18, 2026 47 Call @ $2.39
🔴 SELL TO OPEN Jun 18, 2026 52 Call @ $0.82
Trade Metrics: POP: 34.01% | Pay $157.00 per contract vs. a Max Reward of $343.00 (2.1:1).
The Setup: IBIT continues to build on its relative strength, consistently appearing on our scanners over the past couple of weeks while establishing a firm 1M Bullish trend. Fundamentally, the asset is benefiting from a perfect storm: the recent Bitcoin network halving has restricted new daily supply, colliding directly with sustained, sticky institutional ETF inflows. As major wirehouses and wealth management platforms accelerate their allocations, the technical momentum targets a breakout move toward $52.
Management:
Stop Loss: Sell the spread at $0.79 (50% loss on premium).
Take Profit: Sell the spread at $2.75 (75% gain on premium).
Share this on