DailyPlay – Opening Trade (SBUX) Closing Trade (BA) – June 23, 2023

Closing Trade

• BA – 62.62% Loss: Sell to Close 3 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) Aug 18th $225/$250 Call Vertical Spreads @ $2.68 Credit. DailyPlay Portfolio: By Closing all 3 Contracts, we will receive $804. We opened this trade at $7.42 Debit, resulting in a cost of $742 per contract. The average loss per contract is therefore $474.

SBUX Bearish Opening Trade Signal

View SBUX Trade

Strategy Details

Strategy: Long Put

Direction: Bearish

Details: Buy to Open 6 Contracts Aug 18th $100 Puts @ $3.20 Debit per contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $1,920 (6 Contracts x $320) based on a hypothetical $100,000 portfolio risking 2%. We suggest using 2% of your portfolio value and divide it by $320 to select the # shares for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This stock has been neutral to bearish and is expected to continue lower.

1M/6M Trends: Neutral/Mildly Bearish

Technical Score: 5/10

OptionsPlay Score: 85

Stop Loss: @ $1.60 Credit (50% loss).

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

Please note that these prices are based on Thursday’s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

Investment Rationale

Despite the Nasdaq-100 continuing to shrug off the risk of higher interest rates, the rest of the market has weakened considerably over the past 2 trading sessions. Market breadth has declined with more than 50% of all stocks trading below their 200D SMA as of yesterday. With this erosion, we are looking to add short exposure to our DailyPlay portfolio while cutting long exposure in BA. After breaking down below its $104 support level, SBUX has rallied over the past few weeks and presents an opportunity with favorable risk/reward to add some short exposure. Currently trading at over 29x forward earnings, SBUX is priced for strong EPS growth, but as consumers become more selective in their spending, there are downside risks to these high expectations. With IV Rank at 0%, I am seeking downside exposure using a simple Aug $100 Put @ $3.20 Debit, risking only 3.2% of the stock’s value for unlimited downside exposure. Additionally, BA has failed to sustain its breakout and reached a stop loss level and it is time to cut losses by closing out the entire position. 

SBUX – Daily

As a reminder, the goal of our DailyPlay signals is to show you how to manage your portfolio for profitability. During choppy markets, it is most important to cut your losers very quickly but remain confident in opening new positions and opportunities. This is why we have been aggressively cutting losses these past few days and focusing on adjusting winning positions to offset our losses.