💰 The Income Generators (High Probability, Cash Flow)
EOG: Bullish Put Spread capitalizing on a trend-following buy signal for a top pick from our Equity Research Buy List.
MTDR: Bullish Put Spread leveraging undervalued fundamentals and geopolitical tailwinds in the Oil & Gas sector.
🚀 The Growth Seekers (Higher Risk, Max Reward)
(No trades in this category today)
🛡️ The Portfolio Protectors (Hedges & Bearish Bets)
COF: Bearish Call Spread hedging against rising credit card delinquencies, mounting charge-offs, and an overvalued fundamental profile.
1. EOG ($142.64) – Pumping the Energy Trend
We’re betting on: If the energy sector continues to see inflows and EOG’s bullish momentum holds support above our $140 strike, this credit spread will expire worthless for max profit.
The Trade: Sell to Open the EOG May 15, 2026 140/130 Put Vertical @ $3.30 Credit.
🟢 BUY TO OPEN May 15, 2026 130 Put @ $2.65
🔴 SELL TO OPEN May 15, 2026 140 Put @ $5.95
Trade Metrics: POP: 60.91% | Collect $330.00 per contract vs. a Max Risk of $670.00 (2.0:1).
The Why: Sourced from our Equity Research Buy List, EOG Resources offers compelling fundamental value and generated a fresh technical buy signal, making it a prime candidate to capture premium in the energy space.
The Technicals: EOG is in a strong Bullish Trend (1M & 6M) with maximum Relative Strength (10/10), recently triggering a trend-following buy signal as it bounces off its $136 support level.
Management:
⚠️ Warning: Earnings is scheduled for May 05, which may require active management.
Stop Loss: Buy back the spread at $6.60 (100% of credit received).
Take Profit: Buy back the spread at $1.65 (50% of max gain).
2. MTDR ($62.90) – Undervalued Energy Edge
We’re betting on: If the ongoing Iran conflict maintains a premium on domestic energy producers and MTDR’s undervalued fundamentals attract buyers, the stock will stay comfortably above our $62.50 strike.
The Trade: Sell to Open the MTDR May 15, 2026 62.5/57.5 Put Vertical @ $1.97 Credit.
🟢 BUY TO OPEN May 15, 2026 57.5 Put @ $2.03
🔴 SELL TO OPEN May 15, 2026 62.5 Put @ $4.00
Trade Metrics: POP: 55.50% | Collect $197.00 per contract vs. a Max Risk of $303.00 (1.5:1).
The Why: MTDR screens highly on our undervalued fundamentals list. Aligned with our broader bullish thesis on Oil & Gas due to the Iran War, Matador offers excellent exposure to sustained elevated energy prices.
The Technicals: Mired in a powerful Bullish Trend (1M & 6M) with perfect Relative Strength (10/10), the stock generated a buy signal following a short-term pullback to its $56 support zone.
Management:
⚠️ Warning: Earnings is scheduled for Apr 29, which may require active management.
Stop Loss: Buy back the spread at $3.94 (100% of credit received).
Take Profit: Buy back the spread at $0.99 (50% of max gain).
3. COF ($181.92) – Fading the Consumer Credit Risk
We’re betting on: If rising consumer credit stress and integration headwinds from the Discover acquisition continue to weigh on Capital One’s valuation, the stock will fail to reclaim its $185 resistance.
The Trade: Sell to Open the COF May 15, 2026 185/200 Call Vertical @ $5.55 Credit.
🔴 SELL TO OPEN May 15, 2026 185 Call @ $9.40
🟢 BUY TO OPEN May 15, 2026 200 Call @ $3.85
Trade Metrics: POP: 65.18% | Collect $555.00 per contract vs. a Max Risk of $945.00 (1.7:1).
The Why: Capital One faces severe fundamental headwinds as domestic credit card net charge-offs climb past 5.17% and 30-day delinquencies approach 4%. Compounded by heavy loan-loss provisioning and integration risks following its Discover acquisition, the stock’s current multiple is highly vulnerable.
The Technicals: Mired in a dual Bearish Trend (1M & 6M) with weak Relative Strength (3/10), the stock recently triggered a sell signal on a counter-trend bounce, facing massive overhead resistance near $200.
Management:
⚠️ Warning: Earnings is scheduled for Apr 21, which may require active management.
Stop Loss: Buy back the spread at $11.10 (100% of credit received).
Take Profit: Buy back the spread at $2.78 (50% of max gain).
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