fbpx

OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – June 12th, 2026

What’s Driving The Market

  • Risk-On Reversal on the Iran Off-Ramp: President Trump cancelled the Iran strikes scheduled for tonight and said a peace deal will be announced “soon,” with negotiations now at the highest level of Iranian leadership. The market read it as the off-ramp for the energy shock that has dominated the tape for weeks: oil sold off sharply (WTI down over 2%, Brent down 3%), and the safety bid in bonds, defensives, and the dollar unwound into a broad-based equity squeeze. The Dow ripped nearly 930 points, the Russell 2000 outperformed at +3.02%, and the Nasdaq added 2.54% in the strongest session since the Iran conflict began.
  • Memory Chips Led the Tape: Micron bounced almost 12% to fully erase this week’s two-day, 6%+ drawdown; Sandisk jumped 14%; Western Digital and Seagate each added roughly 4%. The catalyst was the AI-driven memory supercycle thesis (TrendForce projects +134% memory revenue growth in 2026) combined with a sharp dip-buy bid after Wednesday’s chip-sector selloff. Intel surged 10% on a Bank of America double upgrade from Underperform to Buy, with the analyst citing rising CPU demand on the agentic AI buildout, and broader semis followed.
  • Oracle Was the Session’s Most Important Loser: ORCL fell more than 10% despite a textbook Q4 FY26 beat (revenue $19.18B vs $19.0B consensus; non-GAAP EPS $2.11 vs $1.89; cloud infrastructure revenue +93%; total revenue +21%). The selling was entirely about the capex disclosure: management guided to about $70B in FY27 net capex (excluding $20-25B in customer prepayments) and flagged plans to raise $40B through debt and equity, including a previously announced $20B share sale, while signaling negative FY26 free cash flow and a near-term gross-margin step-down. It is the cleanest example yet of the market refusing to underwrite hyperscaler-style AI buildout spend on a name that does not yet have hyperscaler-style cash generation.
  • SpaceX Priced the Largest IPO on Record: SpaceX priced at $135 per share, raising $75B at a roughly $1.75T valuation, with trading set to begin tomorrow. Senator Elizabeth Warren issued a public letter to the SEC asking for the IPO to be delayed, flagging concerns about valuation methodology, Musk’s concentrated voting power, and the impact on passive index fund investors who would be forced into exposure if the stock is added to major indexes. The deal is being treated as a milestone for the post-AI-megacap capital cycle.

OptionsPlay Trade Ideas: The Daily Brief

💰 The Income Generators (High Probability, Cash Flow)

  • MRVL: Sell a put vertical to add to a winning AI-semis position as memory and chips lead the risk-on reversal.

🚀 The Growth Seekers (Higher Risk, Max Reward)

  • GE: Long call vertical adding to a winning industrials trade, swinging for the home run as the rotation broadens.

🛡️ The Portfolio Protectors (Hedges & Bearish Bets)

  • (No trades in this category today)

1. MRVL ($280.71): Adding to an AI-Semis Winner

  • We’re betting on: Marvell’s 10/10 relative-strength leadership in AI custom silicon as we add to a 5/14 winner already up more than 50%, and for MRVL to stay above $270 by expiration to capture the full credit.
  • The Trade: Sell to Open the MRVL Jul 17, 2026 270/240 Put Vertical @ $12.72 Credit.
    • 🔴 SELL TO OPEN Jul 17, 2026 270 Put @ $29.85
    • 🟢 BUY TO OPEN Jul 17, 2026 240 Put @ $17.13
  • Trade Metrics: POP: 53.44% | Collect $1,272 per contract vs. a Max Risk of $1,728 (1.36:1).
  • The Setup: After a recent pullback, MRVL bounced cleanly off its $250 support level, giving us the chance to add to a 5/14 position already up more than 50%. The stock carries a perfect 10/10 relative-strength score with both its 1M and 6M trends bullish, and today’s risk-on reversal sent memory and broader semis sharply higher as the Iran off-ramp unleashed a squeeze. Selling the 270/240 put vertical collects premium while defining risk below the $257.28 breakeven, well beneath the reclaimed support shelf. With 36 days to expiry and a 53.44% probability of profit, time decay works in our favor as long as MRVL holds above $270.
  • Management:
    • Stop Loss: Buy back the spread at $25.44 (100% loss of credit received).
    • Take Profit: Buy back the spread at $6.36 (50% of max gain).

2. GE ($332.76): Industrials Rotation, Swinging for the Home Run

  • We’re betting on: GE Aerospace riding the rotation into industrials on a record $190B backlog and a raised 2026 profit outlook, as we add to this week’s winner to swing for the home run, and for GE to close above $360 by expiration to capture the full spread.
  • The Trade: Buy to Open the GE Jul 17, 2026 330/360 Call Vertical @ $11.22 Debit.
    • 🟢 BUY TO OPEN Jul 17, 2026 330 Call @ $18.25
    • 🔴 SELL TO OPEN Jul 17, 2026 360 Call @ $7.03
  • Trade Metrics: POP: 39.55% | Pay $1,122 per contract vs. a Max Reward of $1,878 (1.67:1).
  • The Setup: After an initial trade earlier this week, GE confirmed its move above the $330 resistance level on building relative strength, letting us add to a profitable position and swing for the home run. The stock scores 8/10 on relative strength with both its 1M and 6M trends bullish, and price closed at fresh highs as capital rotates into industrials on today’s risk-on reversal. The 330/360 call vertical captures the continuation with defined risk, a breakeven at $341.22, and support below at $315. Earnings land July 16, one day before expiration, so the position will need active monitoring into the print.
  • Management:
    • ⚠️ Warning: Earnings are scheduled for July 16, 2026, potentially requiring active monitoring around the event.
    • Stop Loss: Sell the spread at $5.61 (50% loss of premium).
    • Take Profit: Sell the spread at $19.64 (75% gain on premium).

More DailyPlay

OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – June 11th, 2026

What’s Driving The Market OptionsPlay Trade Ideas:...

Read More

OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – June 10th, 2026

What’s Driving The Market OptionsPlay Trade Ideas:...

Read More

OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – June 9th, 2026

What’s Driving The Market 💰 The Income...

Read More

OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – June 8th, 2026

What’s Driving The Market 💰 The Income...

Read More
Tony Zhang