fbpx

OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – September 14th, 2026

📊 What’s Driving The Market

  • Stocks snapped a four-day losing streak: An in-line August CPI and a pullback in oil gave investors permission to buy, with the S&P up 0.86% to 7,657, the Dow up 0.98%, and the Nasdaq 100 up 0.91%. The VIX collapsed 11.21% to 15.84 as the week’s two stress points, oil and inflation, both came in better than feared.
  • A September hike is now near-certain: Headline CPI matched at 3.4% but core ran 0.1 point hot, pushing CME odds of a 25 basis-point hike at Wednesday’s FOMC to roughly 86%, and Treasury yields hit fresh 52-week highs with the 10-year near 4.97%.
  • Oil retreated on diplomatic movement: WTI settled just under $100 and Brent near $104 after reports of Iran-Gulf talks on Strait of Hormuz shipping, though comments that the conflict could persist tempered the de-escalation thesis.
  • AI hardware led the rally: Hewlett Packard Enterprise surged 11.6% and Dell jumped 10% on accelerating AI server and storage demand, while Apple extended its foldable-launch rally and Oracle round-tripped a 7% gain to close lower.

OptionsPlay Trade Ideas: The Daily Brief

💰 The Income Generators (High Probability, Cash Flow)

  • VZ: Selling a put spread as Verizon bases above $50 toward its 52-week high.
  • INTU: Selling a put spread to add to our Intuit position on the pullback-to-support buy signal.

🚀 The Growth Seekers (Higher Risk, Max Reward)

  • APP: Buying a call to establish an initial turnaround position as AppLovin stabilizes.

🛡️ The Portfolio Protectors (Hedges & Bearish Bets)

  • No trades today for this category.

1. VZ ($50.61): Selling a Put Spread on the Base Above $50

  • We’re betting on: Verizon has based above $50 after a sharp rally, and for VZ to stay above $50 through expiration to keep the full credit.
  • The Trade: Sell to Open the VZ Oct 9, 2026 50/48 Put Vertical @ $0.85 Credit.
    • 🔴 SELL TO OPEN Oct 9, 2026 50 Put @ $1.29
    • 🟢 BUY TO OPEN Oct 9, 2026 48 Put @ $0.44
  • Trade Metrics: POP: 66.18% | Collect $85 per contract vs. a Max Risk of $115 (1.35:1).
  • The Setup: VZ trades at $50.61 in a bullish 1-month and 6-month trend after rallying more than 25% over the past two months and forming a base above $50, setting up a potential continuation toward its 52-week high near $51.50. As a defensive telecom with a 5.6% dividend and a cheap 13 times earnings, Verizon fits a cautious, high-rate tape well. Relative strength is neutral at 6/10 and the short strike sits right at the money, so this is a continuation bet that leans on the base holding. The 50/48 put vertical collects $85 and risks $115, a 1.35:1 payout on strictly defined risk, with a breakeven of $49.15 and full profit if VZ holds above the $50 short strike through October expiration.
  • Management:
    • Stop Loss: Buy back the spread at $1.70 (100% loss of the credit received).
    • Take Profit: Buy back the spread at $0.43 (50% of the credit captured).

2. INTU ($321.57): Adding on the Pullback-to-Support Buy Signal

  • We’re betting on: Intuit has pulled back to prior support and generated a bullish trend-following buy signal, and for INTU to stay above $320 through expiration to keep the full credit.
  • The Trade: Sell to Open the INTU Oct 16, 2026 320/300 Put Vertical @ $7.95 Credit.
    • 🔴 SELL TO OPEN Oct 16, 2026 320 Put @ $16.70
    • 🟢 BUY TO OPEN Oct 16, 2026 300 Put @ $8.75
  • Trade Metrics: POP: 55.54% | Collect $795 per contract vs. a Max Risk of $1,205 (1.52:1).
  • The Setup: INTU crossed back above its 50-day moving average to $321.57 and generated a bullish trend-following buy signal after breaking out above $300, rallying to $375, and pulling back to retest prior resistance as support, targeting a return to $375. This adds to the Intuit position we already hold. Note relative strength is weak at 2/10 and the 1-month trend is mildly bearish, so this is a support-holding bet rather than a momentum breakout, and the short strike sits right at the money. Intuit pairs durable double-digit growth across TurboTax, QuickBooks, and Credit Karma with accelerating AI monetization. The 320/300 put vertical collects $795 and risks $1,205, a 1.52:1 payout on strictly defined risk, with a breakeven of $312.05 and full profit if INTU holds above the $320 short strike through October expiration.
  • Management:
    • Stop Loss: Buy back the spread at $15.90 (100% loss of the credit received).
    • Take Profit: Buy back the spread at $3.98 (50% of the credit captured).

3. APP ($323.96): Buying a Call for an Initial Turnaround Position

  • We’re betting on: AppLovin is showing early signs of stabilization after a sharp decline, and for APP to climb well above $344 by expiration for the call to pay off.
  • The Trade: Buy to Open the APP Oct 16, 2026 320 Call @ $23.85 Debit.
    • 🟢 BUY TO OPEN Oct 16, 2026 320 Call @ $23.85
  • Trade Metrics: POP: 32.67% | Pay $2,385 per contract for uncapped upside, with risk limited to the $2,385 premium.
  • The Setup: APP trades at $323.96, down more than 50% from its highs on a slight earnings miss, and has begun to stabilize while triggering our early breakout detector. This is an initial, deliberately speculative position: what some would call bottom fishing on a very early turnaround, where relative strength is still very weak at 2/10 and the 6-month trend remains bearish, so it should be sized small. The appeal is valuation, with the stock now at a far more compelling multiple after the drawdown, and the long call gives defined risk capped at the premium with uncapped upside if the turnaround takes hold. The single Oct 16 call costs $2,385 with a breakeven of $343.85, and it needs a decisive move higher to pay, gaining value as APP climbs above the $320 strike through October expiration.
  • Management:
    • Stop Loss: Sell the call at $11.93 (50% loss on premium).
    • Take Profit: Sell the call at $41.74 (75% gain on premium).

More DailyPlay

OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – September 11th, 2026

📊 What’s Driving The Market OptionsPlay Trade...

Read More

OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – September 10th, 2026

📊 What’s Driving The Market OptionsPlay Trade...

Read More

OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – September 9th, 2026

📊 What’s Driving The Market OptionsPlay Trade...

Read More

OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – September 8th, 2026

📊 What’s Driving The Market OptionsPlay Trade...

Read More
Tony Zhang