DailyPlay – Opening Trade (XYZ) – August 07, 2025
XYZ Bullish Opening Trade Signal Investment Rationale...
Read MoreInvestment Thesis
Airbnb Inc. (ABNB) remains a standout in the Travel & Leisure sector, leveraging its capital-light model, global brand recognition, and operational efficiency to drive consistent growth. As the platform transitions from early-stage volatility into sustained profitability, it benefits from durable secular trends in alternative lodging and post-pandemic travel normalization. With a business model that scales efficiently and a healthy balance of margin expansion and top-line growth, ABNB is well-positioned to command a valuation premium. This backdrop supports a constructive outlook and justifies bullish positioning into the summer travel season.
Technical Analysis
ABNB has reasserted its bullish posture following a clean breakout above its 200-day moving average at $134.76, now acting as firm support. The recent advance to $138.81, accompanied by a +0.75% gain on strong volume, reflects renewed momentum and buyer conviction. The 50-day moving average continues to trend higher, reinforcing a structurally sound uptrend. With an RSI of 41.01, the stock is far from overbought, suggesting ample room for upside extension. These technical signals collectively point to a favorable risk/reward setup for bullish exposure above the $138 level.
Fundamental Analysis
ABNB continues to outpace industry peers on key financial metrics, reinforcing the quality of its growth profile:
Options Trade
To capitalize on the bullish setup, consider selling the Jul 25, 2025 $138/$130 put vertical for a net credit. offering a risk/reward ratio just under 1:2. The position profits if ABNB remains above $138 through expiration, which aligns with technical support and ongoing fundamental strength. With 43 days to expiry, this spread provides an efficient way to express a bullish thesis while maintaining downside protection in a well-structured risk envelope.
Strategy: Short Put Vertical Spread
Direction: Bullish Credit Spread
Details: Sell to Open 3 ABNB Jul 25 138/130 Put Verticals @ $2.68 Credit per Contract.
Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $1,596 (3 Contracts x $532) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $532 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.
Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on a stock that is expected to continue higher over the duration of this trade.
1M/6M Trends: Bullish/Bullish
Relative Strength: 5/10
OptionsPlay Score: 86
Stop Loss: @ $5.36 (100% loss to value of premium)
Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade.
PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Thursday’s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry.
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