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OptionsPlay DailyPlay Ideas Menu – June 29th, 2026

💰 The Income Generators (High Probability, Cash Flow)

  • MO: Sell a put vertical on a 9/10 leader on the verge of a new 52-week high.

🚀 The Growth Seekers (Higher Risk, Max Reward)

  • BKNG: Long call vertical adding to a winning position breaking out to a new relative high.

🛡️ The Portfolio Protectors (Hedges & Bearish Bets)

  • KKR: Long put vertical adding to a winning short as it breaks below $92.50 support.

1. MO ($73.79): Selling Premium Into a New-High Breakout

  • We’re betting on: Altria’s resilient cash-generative tobacco franchise and 5.8% dividend leadership as it pushes toward a new 52-week high, and for MO to stay above $73 by expiration to capture the full credit.
  • The Trade: Sell to Open the MO Aug 7, 2026 73/70 Put Vertical @ $1.09 Credit.
    • 🔴 SELL TO OPEN Aug 7, 2026 73 Put @ $2.19
    • 🟢 BUY TO OPEN Aug 7, 2026 70 Put @ $1.10
  • Trade Metrics: POP: 60.76% | Collect $109 per contract vs. a Max Risk of $191 (1.75:1).
  • The Setup: MO is outperforming and on the verge of a potential breakout to a new 52-week high on strong volume. The stock scores 9/10 on relative strength with both its 1M and 6M trends bullish, a rare combination of defensive yield and momentum as capital rotates toward steady-cash-flow names. Selling the 73/70 put vertical collects premium while defining risk below the $71.91 breakeven and the $70.41 support. With 41 days to expiry and a 60.81% probability of profit, time decay works in our favor as long as MO holds above $73.
  • Management:
    • ⚠️ Warning: Earnings are scheduled for July 30, 2026, potentially requiring active monitoring around the event.
    • Stop Loss: Buy back the spread at $2.18 (100% loss of credit received).
    • Take Profit: Buy back the spread at $0.55 (50% of max gain).

2. BKNG ($181.46): Pressing a Travel Winner to New Highs

  • We’re betting on: Booking Holdings’ global travel-demand leadership and aggressive buybacks, pressing a winner already up about 44%, and for BKNG to close above $205 by expiration to capture the full spread.
  • The Trade: Buy to Open the BKNG Aug 7, 2026 180/205 Call Vertical @ $7.75 Debit.
    • 🟢 BUY TO OPEN Aug 7, 2026 180 Call @ $11.40
    • 🔴 SELL TO OPEN Aug 7, 2026 205 Call @ $3.65
  • Trade Metrics: POP: 37.70% | Pay $775 per contract vs. a Max Reward of $1,725 (2.23:1).
  • The Setup: This is the press-the-winner discipline: our June 17 BKNG position, the 175/195 call vertical, is up about 44%, and BKNG just broke out to a new relative high with an upgrade to our building-outperformance list as consumer names outperform. The 1M trend is bullish on the breakout, though relative strength is still catching up at 3/10, so we add defined-risk upside rather than chase. The 180/205 call vertical captures the continuation with a breakeven at $187.75 and support at $149.76, with a close above $205 at expiration delivering the full reward.
  • Management:
    • ⚠️ Warning: Earnings are scheduled for July 29, 2026, potentially requiring active monitoring around the event.
    • Stop Loss: Sell the spread at $3.88 (50% loss of premium).
    • Take Profit: Sell the spread at $13.53 (75% gain on premium).

3. KKR ($90.13): Pressing the Short Below $92.50

  • We’re betting on: KKR’s deteriorating momentum as it breaks support and joins our early-underperform group, pressing a short already up about 27%, and for KKR to fall below $77.50 by expiration to capture the full spread.
  • The Trade: Buy to Open the KKR Aug 21, 2026 90/77.5 Put Vertical @ $3.77 Debit.
    • 🟢 BUY TO OPEN Aug 21, 2026 90 Put @ $5.50
    • 🔴 SELL TO OPEN Aug 21, 2026 77.5 Put @ $1.73
  • Trade Metrics: POP: 43.07% | Pay $377 per contract vs. a Max Reward of $873 (2.32:1).
  • The Setup: This is the press-the-winner discipline on the short side: our June 4 KKR position, the 92.5/100 bearish call spread, is up about 27%, and KKR just broke below its $92.50 support and joined our early-underperform group, targeting $82 to the downside. The stock scores just 2/10 on relative strength with both its 1M and 6M trends bearish, mired below a falling 50-day average. The 90/77.5 put vertical captures the move lower with defined risk, a breakeven at $86.23, and resistance overhead at $109.51, with a close below $77.50 at expiration delivering the full reward.
  • Management:
    • ⚠️ Warning: Earnings are scheduled for July 30, 2026, potentially requiring active monitoring around the event.
    • Stop Loss: Sell the spread at $1.89 (50% loss of premium).
    • Take Profit: Sell the spread at $6.60 (75% gain on premium).

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Tony Zhang