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DailyPlay – Portfolio Review – March 24, 2025

DailyPlay Portfolio Review

Our Trades

AMGN – 18 DTE

Bullish Credit Spread – Amgen Inc – This position was established recently and is profitable. We plan to hold steady for now.

BABA – 53 DTE

Bullish Debit Spread – Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. – This position was recently opened and is currently experiencing a minimal loss. We plan to hold steady for now.

BIDU – 39 DTE

Bullish Credit Spread – Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) – We recently established this position, and it’s currently underwater. For now, we plan to hold steady.

NEE – 32 DTE

Bullish Long Call – NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) – We established this position recently, and it’s currently at a loss. For now, we’ll hold steady.

NEM – 24 DTE

Bullish Long Call – Newmont Corporation (NEM) – This position was established recently and is at a loss. We’re holding firm for the time being.

SHOP – 32 DTE

Bullish Credit Spread – Shopify Inc. – We’ve recently established this position and are seeing profits. We’ll keep a close eye on it this week and may close it when the timing’s right.

$AMGN

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (AMGN) – March 21, 2025

AMGN Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

Amgen Inc. (AMGN) – Last month, we initiated a position on AMGN via a long call. On February 25, we closed that position for a profit. The momentum continued to the upside but has now pulled back, and we are looking at a credit spread to take a bullish stance this time around.

Fundamentally, AMGN is moderately undervalued, trading in line with its industry median. However, recent growth suggests that estimates may be too low, supporting a higher valuation. AMGN has a forward P/E ratio of 15.28x compared to the industry average of 12.86x. Expected EPS growth for AMGN is 3.91% versus 8.61% for the industry, while expected revenue growth stands at 2.94% compared to the industry average of 7.74%. Net margins for AMGN are 12.24%, slightly below the industry average of 13%.

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AMGN – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Short Put Vertical Spread

Direction: Bullish Credit Spread

Details: Sell to Open 2 Contracts AMGN April 11 $315/$300 Put Vertical Spreads @ $4.50 Credit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,100 (2 Contracts x $450) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $450 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on a stock that is expected to continue its bullish trajectory over the duration of this trade.

1M/6M Trends: Bullish/Bullish

Relative Strength: 6/10

OptionsPlay Score: 86

Stop Loss: @ $9.00 (100% loss to value of premium)

View AMGN Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Thursday’s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View AMGN Trade

$NEE

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (NEE) – March 20, 2025

NEE Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) recently broke out above resistance while outperforming the S&P 500, suggesting further upside toward a target of $85.

Fundamentally, NEE is moderately undervalued, trades in line with its peers, and is expected to grow at a faster pace while offering superior profitability metrics. NEE has a forward P/E ratio of 19.15x compared to the industry average of 19.14x. Its expected EPS growth is 8.32%, versus the industry average of 7.65%, and its expected revenue growth is 10.95% compared to 4.39% for the industry. NEE also boasts net margins of 28.06%, significantly higher than the industry average of 14.17%.

NEE – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Long Call

Direction: Bullish Call

Details: Buy to Open 5 Contracts NEE April 25 $68 Calls @ $4.33 Debit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,165 (5 Contracts x $433) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $433 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on a stock that is expected to continue higher off recent support.

1M/6M Trends: Mildly Bearish/Neutral

Relative Strength: 3/10

OptionsPlay Score: 80

Stop Loss: @ $2.17 (50% loss of premium)

View NEE Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Wednesday’s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View NEE Trade

$CME, $KMI

DailyPlay – Closing Trades (CME, KMI) – March 19, 2025

  • CME – 86% gain: Buy to Close 3 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) April 17 $250/$240 Put Vertical Spreads @ $0.39 Debit. 
    DailyPlay Portfolio:  By Closing all 3 Contracts, we will be paying $117. We initially opened these 3 Contracts on March 7 @ $2.72 Credit. Our gain, therefore, is $699.
  • KMI – 50% loss: Sell to Close 13 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) April 4 $28 Puts @ $0.90 Credit. 
    DailyPlay Portfolio: By Closing all 13 Contracts, we will receive $1,170. We initially opened these 13 Contracts on Feb 20 @ $1.81 Debit. Our loss, therefore, is $91 per contract.

$NEM

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (NEM) Closing Trade (GLD) – March 18, 2025

Closing Trade

  • GLD – 68% gain: Buy to Close 3 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) April 4 $269/$260 Put Vertical Spreads @ $0.97 Debit. DailyPlay Portfolio:  By Closing all 3 Contracts, we will be paying $291. We initially opened these 3 Contracts on March 5 @ $3.00 Credit. Our gain, therefore, is $609.

NEM Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

Newmont Corporation (NEM) – Following the company’s February 20, 2025, earnings report, the stock fell 12%, then consolidated before stabilizing and rebounding near its pre-earnings price. The closing price on the day of the earnings report, $48.09, is now acting as resistance. Our upside target for the stock is $56 if this level is broken. Recent record highs in gold prices may have bolstered NEM’s recovery, supporting its upward momentum.

Fundamentally, NEM appears moderately undervalued, trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.36, slightly below the industry median of 12.45. While its expected EPS growth is lower at 7.33% compared to the industry’s 22.12%, NEM’s net margins have recently improved to 17.92%, outperforming the industry average of 11.17%. Despite modest revenue growth of 1.69% versus the industry’s 7.45%, its improved margins and attractive valuation suggest meaningful upside potential.

NEM – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Long Call

Direction: Bullish Call

Details: Buy to Open 6 Contracts NEM April 17 $45 Calls @ $3.60 Debit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,160 (6 Contracts x $360) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $360 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on a stock that is expected to continue higher off recent support.

1M/6M Trends: Bullish/Bullish

Relative Strength: 4/10

OptionsPlay Score: 81

Stop Loss: @ $1.80 (50% loss of premium)

View NEM Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Monday’s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View NEM Trade

$BIDU

DailyPlay – Portfolio Review & Opening Trade (BIDU) – March 17, 2025

DailyPlay Portfolio Review

Our Trades

AMGN – 39 DTE

Bullish Credit Spread – Amgen Inc – This position was established recently and is slightly profitable. We plan to hold steady for now.

BABA – 60 DTE

Bullish Debit Spread – Alibaba Group Holding Ltd – This position was established recently and is currently profitable. We plan to hold steady for now.

CME – 31 DTE

Bullish Credit Spread – CME Group Inc  – We have a solid gain in this position and might close it out soon to capture the profit.

GLD – 18 DTE

Bullish Credit Spread – SPDR Gold Trust  – The bullish trend in gold is gathering force once more. The position remains profitable, and we will hold steady for now.

KMI – 18 DTE

Bearish Long Put – Kinder Morgan Inc – Since establishing this position, we have a small loss, and with expiration approaching, the position will be under close watch.

SHOP – 39 DTE

Bullish Credit Spread – Shopify Inc – This position was recently established, and we are slightly down. We plan to hold steady for now.

BIDU Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

As a trade war with China escalates, Baidu Inc. (BIDU) stands out as an opportunity to gain exposure to a global leader in AI at a compelling valuation, with reduced risks from tariffs. As China’s leading search engine, BIDU has evolved into a powerhouse in AI innovation, with initiatives like the Ernie Bot chatbot, Baidu AI Cloud, and autonomous driving projects gaining significant traction. These efforts position BIDU to capitalize on China’s aggressive push to compete globally in AI, supported by recent deregulation that is unlocking value for Chinese tech firms. Trading at a significant discount to its industry, BIDU offers an attractive risk to reward for investors seeking exposure to the AI revolution with a long-term growth horizon.

If we examine the chart, BIDU made a new 52-week low at the beginning of 2025 which started to show exhaustion from sellers. Since then, the stock has made a series of higher highs and higher lows, suggesting that the multi-year downtrend is potentially starting to reverse in the other direction. Lastly, the recent pullback and bounce off its $84 confirms this directional shift with an upside target of $150.

Looking at the business, BIDU trades at a significant discount to its industry, despite EPS growth and profitability metrics that are in line with or exceed industry averages. China’s deregulatory push and BIDU’s leadership in AI further enhance its investment case.

  • Forward PE Ratio: 9.1x vs. Industry Average 20.9x
  • Expected EPS Growth: 13% vs. Industry Average 14%
  • Net Margins: 18% vs. Industry Average 8%

BIDU’s AI Leadership:

  • AI Leadership: BIDU’s AI initiatives, including the Ernie Bot 4.5 and Ernie X1 leading frontier models that compete with ChatGPT. 
  • Deregulatory Tailwinds: China’s recent relaxation of tech regulations is unlocking value for BIDU, allowing it to focus on innovation and growth.
  • Investment in AI Ecosystem: BIDU’s $145M venture capital fund for AI startups and up to $2B investment in biotech highlights its commitment to expanding its AI and tech footprint.

BIDU – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Short Put Vertical Spread

Direction: Bullish Credit Spread

Details: Sell to Open 5 Contracts BIDU May 2 $94/$87 Put Vertical Spreads @ $2.96 Credit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,020 (5 Contracts x $404) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $404 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on an stock that is expected to continue higher over the duration of this trade.

1M/6M Trends: Bullish/Bullish

Relative Strength: 9/10

OptionsPlay Score: 94

Stop Loss: @ $5.92 (100% loss to value of premium)

View BIDU Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Friday’s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View BIDU Trade

$AMGN

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (AMGN) – March 14, 2025

AMGN Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

Amgen Inc. (AMGN) — A few weeks ago, we established a bullish play in AMGN. The stock recently showed strong momentum as it moved through its 200-day moving average, and we successfully closed that position for a profit. It has now pulled back from its recent high and is sitting on its 200-day moving average, which may act as a support level in the near term.

From a valuation perspective, AMGN appears moderately undervalued. It trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.13, which is slightly above the industry average of 12.86. Although its expected EPS growth of 3.91% and expected revenue growth of 2.94% are below the industry averages of 8.61% and 7.74%, respectively, AMGN’s solid net margins of 12.24% compare well to the industry average of 13%. Recent growth trends indicate that current estimates may be too low, supporting a higher valuation.

AMGN – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Short Put Vertical Spread

Direction: Bullish Credit Spread

Details: Sell to Open 3 Contracts AMGN April 25 $310/$300 Put Vertical Spreads @ $3.30 Credit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,010 (3 Contracts x $670) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $670 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on an stock that is expected to continue higher over the duration of this trade.

1M/6M Trends: Bullish/Bullish

Relative Strength: 7/10

OptionsPlay Score: 87

Stop Loss: @ $6.60 (100% loss to value of premium)

View AMGN Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Thursday ‘s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View AMGN Trade

$AAP, $DAL, $V

DailyPlay – Closing Trades (AAPL, DAL, V) – March 13, 2025

Closing Trades

  • AAPL – 73% gain: Buy to Close 3 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) April 25 $240/$255 Call Vertical Spreads @ $1.19 Debit. 
    DailyPlay Portfolio:  By Closing all 3 Contracts, we will be paying $357. We initially opened these 3 Contracts on March 10 @ $4.40 Credit. Our gain, therefore, is $963.
  • DAL – 192% gain: Sell to Close 8 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) April 17 $60/$50 Put Vertical Spreads @ $8.75 Credit. 
    DailyPlay Portfolio:  By Closing all 8 Contracts, we will be receive $7,000. We initially opened these 8 Contracts on Feb 28 @ $3.00 Credit. Our gain, therefore, is $4,600.
  • V – 52% loss: Buy to Close 2 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) April 4 $350/$335 Put Vertical Spreads @ $9.68 Debit. 
    DailyPlay Portfolio:  By Closing both Contracts, we will pay $1,936. We initially opened these 2 Contracts on Feb 25 @ $3.93 Credit. Our loss, therefore, is $1,150. The margin requirement for this trade is $1,500 and we received a Credit of $393 per contract giving us a net margin requirement of $1,107. Our loss is $575 per contract which gives us a loss of 52%.

$SHOP

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (SHOP) – March 12, 2025

SHOP Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) has been a long-standing pick in the research report and has delivered strong performance since its addition. Following a strong breakout above $90 and an extended period of sideways consolidation, the stock has now returned to the breakout level. This $90 range offers an attractive risk-reward opportunity for adding to or initiating a position.

Shopify is fundamentally modestly undervalued, with an EV to forward revenue ratio of 12x, roughly 50% higher than its peers. This valuation is supported by Shopify’s significantly stronger growth metrics, including an impressive EPS growth of 185% and revenue growth of 21%, compared to the industry averages. 

Shopify’s forward PE ratio stands at 66.71x versus the industry average of 27.07x, while its expected EPS growth is 35.82% compared to 13.68% for its peers. Additionally, Shopify boasts expected revenue growth of 21.64% versus the industry average of 8.59% and maintains net margins of 23.08%, outperforming the industry average of 17.83%.

SHOP – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Short Put Vertical Spread

Direction: Bullish Credit Spread

Details: Sell to Open 3 Contracts SHOP April 25 $92/$80 Put Vertical Spreads @ $4.39 Credit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,283 (3 Contracts x $761) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $761 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Counter Trend Signal: This is a bullish trade on an stock that is expected to bounce higher off recent support.

1M/6M Trends: Bearish/Mildly Bearish

Relative Strength: 10/10

OptionsPlay Score: 89

Stop Loss: @ $8.78 (100% loss to value of premium)

View SHOP Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Tuesday ‘s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View SHOP Trade

$BABA

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (BABA) – March 11, 2025

BABA Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

Alibaba Group Holdings Inc. (BABA) recently emerged from a three-year bottoming pattern that began in early 2022. The stock climbed from $125 to around $140 following the breakout. Despite a pullback yesterday amid the market downturn, there remains considerable upside potential toward our $230 target. With China’s recent deregulation push, the country’s tech and AI ambitions are expected to gain momentum, potentially unlocking shareholder value.  

Despite comparable growth and profitability metrics, BABA trades at a significant discount to its industry. Its forward PE ratio is 13.60 times, well below the industry average of 22.64 times. BABA’s expected EPS growth is 11.38%, compared to the industry average of 9.59%, while its expected revenue growth is 7.15% versus the industry average of 4.92%. Additionally, BABA’s net margins are 12.33%, outperforming the industry average of 9.95%

BABA – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Long Call Vertical Spread

Direction: Bullish Debit Spread

Details: Buy to Open 3 Contracts BABA May 16 $130/$155 Call Vertical Spreads @ $7.92 Debit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,376 (3 Contracts x $792) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $792 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on an stock that is expected to continue its bullish trajectory.

1M/6M Trends: Bullish/Bullish

Relative Strength: 10/10

OptionsPlay Score: 122

Stop Loss: @ $3.96 (50% loss of premium)

View BABA Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Monday ‘s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View BABA Trade

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