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$AAPL

DailyPlay – Portfolio Review & Closing Trades (BAC, BIDU) & Opening Trade (AAPL) – March 10, 2025

DailyPlay Portfolio Review

Our Trades

DAL – 38 DTE

Bearish Debit Spread – Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) – We have a solid  gain in this position and might close it out soon to capture the profit.

KMI – 25 DTE

Bearish Long Put – Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) – We’re seeing a slight gain since establishing this position and will maintain it for now.

GLD – 25 DTE

Bullish Credit Spread – SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) – Since opening this position, there have been no significant changes, so we plan to hold for now.

V – 32 DTE

Bullish Credit Spread – Visa Inc. (V) – Visa pulled back slightly after a period of strong momentum, and we will continue to maintain our position for now.

Closing Trades

  • BAC – 70% loss: Sell to Close 10 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) May 16 $45/$50 Call Vertical Spreads @ $0.70 Credit. DailyPlay Portfolio:  By Closing all 10 Contracts, we will be receive $700. We initially opened these 10 Contracts on March 3 @ $2.40 Credit. Our loss, therefore, is $170 per contract.
  • BIDU – 54% gain: Buy to Close 5 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) April 4 $87/$80 Put Vertical Spreads @ $1.14 Debit. 
    DailyPlay Portfolio:  By Closing all 5 Contracts, we will be paying $570. We initially opened these 5 Contracts on Feb 19 @ $2.50 Credit. Our gain, therefore, is $1,600.

AAPL Bearish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

A couple of weeks ago, we initiated a bearish position on Apple Inc. (AAPL) using a short vertical spread, selling the Apr 4, 2025, $245/260 call vertical for a $6.20 credit. Last week, on March 6, 2025, we successfully closed this position for a profit. 

Despite AAPL’s rally this week, I reiterate my strong bearish stance. The company is grappling with issues like disappointing iPhone 16 sales, competition in augmented reality, a trade war that they will find hard to avoid. Its valuation, of 33x forward earnings compares to an industry median of 20x, suggests considerable downside risks. 

Given this outlook, I’m proposing a new bearish position using another short vertical call spread. Selling the AAPL Apr 25, 2025, $240/255 call vertical for a $7.02 credit. The maximum profit is $702 if AAPL stays below $240 at expiration, with a breakeven at $247.02 and a maximum risk of $798.

AAPL – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Short Call Vertical Spread

Direction: Bearish Credit Spread

Details: Sell to Open 3 Contracts AAPL April 25 $240/$255 Call Vertical Spreads @ $7.02 Credit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,394 (3 Contracts x $798) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $798 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bearish trade on an stock that is expected to continue lower off recent resistance.

1M/6M Trends: Neutral/Bullish

Relative Strength: 8/10

OptionsPlay Score: 119

Stop Loss: @ $14.04 (100% loss to value of premium)

View AAPL Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Friday ‘s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View AAPL Trade

$CME

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (CME) – March 7, 2025

CME Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

CME Group Inc. (CME) recently broke out of its trading range with strong upside momentum, briefly reaching an all-time high, and is now consolidating following a short pullback from its peak. We believe the stock will retest that recent high and likely break through to the upside.

From a fundamental perspective, CME appears moderately undervalued. While its valuations are in line with the industry, it demonstrates far greater profitability. The company’s net margins exceed 55%, suggesting substantial upside potential. CME currently trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.06, compared to the industry average of 17.45. Expected earnings per share growth for CME is 4.93%, while the industry average is higher at 13.19%. However, CME’s expected revenue growth stands at 5.42%, compared to the industry average of 8.37%. Most notably, CME’s net margins are an impressive 57.34%, far surpassing the industry average of 20.83%.

CME – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Short Put Vertical Spread

Direction: Bullish Credit Spread

Details: Sell to Open 3 Contracts CME April 17 $250/$240 Put Vertical Spreads @ $2.72 Credit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,184 (3 Contracts x $728) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $728 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on an stock that is expected to continue its bullish trajectory.

1M/6M Trends: Bullish/Bullish

Relative Strength: 9/10

OptionsPlay Score: 91

Stop Loss: @ $5.44 (100% loss to value of premium)

View CME Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Thursday ‘s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View CME Trade

$AAPL

DailyPlay – Closing Trade (AAPL) – March 6, 2025

Closing Trade

  • AAPL – 53% gain: Buy to Close 2 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) April 4 $245/$260 Call Vertical Spreads @ $2.89 Debit. 
    DailyPlay Portfolio:  By Closing both Contracts, we will be paying $578. We initially opened these 2 Contracts on Feb 24 @ $6.21 Credit. Our gain, therefore, is $664.

$GLD

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (GLD) – March 5, 2025

GLD Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

Gold prices have recently reached new highs, driven by macroeconomic, geopolitical, and market-specific factors, reinforcing their role as a safe-haven asset. After nearing the 3000 level, gold futures pulled back to key support at the mid-October high before rebounding with strong momentum. SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) followed suit, bouncing near 261, with upside momentum suggesting a potential retest of the most recent high in GLD of 272.32. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has remained elevated near the upper end of its range, holding around 20 for an extended period, implying that market concerns are unlikely to fade in the near term.

GLD – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Short Put Vertical Spread

Direction: Bullish Credit Spread

Details: Sell to Open 3 Contracts GLD April 4 $269/$260 Put Vertical Spreads @ $3.00 Credit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $1,800 (3 Contracts x $600) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $600 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on an ETF that is expected to continue its bullish trajectory.

1M/6M Trends: Bullish/Bullish

Relative Strength: 9/10

OptionsPlay Score: 91

Stop Loss: @ $6.00 (100% loss to value of premium)

View GLD Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Tuesday ‘s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View GLD Trade

$LRCX

DailyPlay – Closing Trade (LRCX) – March 4, 2025

Closing Trade

  • LRCX – 55% loss: Sell to Close 2 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) March 21 $74 Calls @ $4.43 Credit. 
    DailyPlay Portfolio: By Closing both Contracts, we will receive $886. We initially opened these 2 Contracts on Jan 31 @ $10.03. Our loss on this trade is therefore $560 per Contract.

$BAC

DailyPlay – Portfolio Review & Opening Trade (BAC) – March 3, 2025

DailyPlay Portfolio Review

Our Trades

AAPL – 32 DTE

Bearish Credit Spread – Apple Inc. (AAPL) –  This position was established recently and is profitable. We plan to hold steady for now.

BIDU – 32 DTE

Bullish Credit Spread – Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) – Since opening this position, there have been no significant changes, so we plan to hold for now.

DAL – 45 DTE

Bearish Debit Spread – Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) – We recently established this position and plan to stay the course for now.

KMI – 32 DTE

Bearish Long Put – Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) – Since establishing this position, we are slightly down. We plan to hold steady for now.

LRCX – 18 DTE

Bullish Long Call – Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) – This position is at a loss, and with expiration only weeks away, it’s time to either sell a call to create a bull call spread or close it outright. We’ll closely monitor it early in the week.

NVDA – 4 DTE

NVDA delivered a strong earnings beat last week, but market headlines overshadowed the results. With expiration approaching, the position is still down, though Friday’s momentum was encouraging, and we hope it continues, offering an opportunity to recover some value.

V – 32 DTE

Visa’s strong upward momentum continues. We’re profitable and maintaining our position for now.

BAC Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

The financial sector is experiencing favorable tailwinds, with interest rates enhancing net interest margins for major banks like BAC. Bank of America (BAC) is presenting a bullish opportunity as it bounces off support, setting the stage for potential breakout to all-time highs. Additionally, BAC’s balance sheet and diversified revenue streams position it to capitalize on improving regulatory environment and increased lending activity. Trading at an attractive valuation with solid growth metrics, BAC is poised to benefit from these macro trends, making it an appealing investment within the financial sector.

The chart confirms BAC’s bullish setup, as the stock recently bounced off its $43 support and is now approaching the $48 double top. A breakout above this level could propel BAC to our $55 upside target. 

Fundamentals: Attractively Valued

BAC trades at a slight discount to its industry, with growth and profitability metrics that highlight its potential for outperformance. The bank’s strong fundamentals and favorable macro environment bolster its investment case.

  • PB Ratio: 1.29x vs. Industry Average 1.37x
  • EPS Growth: 15.29% vs. Industry Average 13.83%
  • Revenue Growth: 5.80% vs. Industry Average 5.28%
  • Net Margins: 26.63% vs. Industry Average 24.02%

Bullish Thesis:

  • Favorable Interest Rate Environment: Interest rates are boosting BAC’s net interest margins, a key driver of profitability for the bank.
  • Strong Balance Sheet: BAC’s diversified revenue streams and solid capital position provide resilience and growth potential in a recovering economy.
  • Increased Lending Activity: Improving domestic regulatory conditions are driving higher loan demand, benefiting BAC’s core banking operations.

BAC – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Long Call Vertical Spread

Direction: Bullish Debit Spread

Details: Buy to Open 10 Contracts BAC May 16 $45/$50 Call Vertical Spreads @ $2.01 Debit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,010 (10 Contracts x $201) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $201 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on a stock that is expected to continue higher off recent support.

1M/6M Trends: Bullish/Bullish

Relative Strength: 9/10

OptionsPlay Score: 106

Stop Loss: @ $1.01 (50% loss of premium)

View BAC Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Friday ‘s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View BAC Trade

$DAL

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (DAL) – February 28, 2025

DAL Bearish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) – Technically, DAL recently broke down from its trading range with strong momentum and is underperforming the S&P 500, providing an opportunity for further downside to our $50 target.

Fundamentally, DAL is modestly overvalued and trades at a slight discount to its industry, with a forward P/E ratio of 7.96x compared to the industry average of 8.96x. However, it is expected to grow at a slower pace than its peers, with an expected EPS growth of 12.54% versus the industry average of 16.12%. Its expected revenue growth is 3.12%, lagging behind the industry’s 5.76%, and its net margins stand at 5.61%, compared to the industry average of 1.97%. The latest quarter of margin compression is concerning for its future outlook and valuation.

DAL – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Long Put Vertical Spread

Direction: Bearish Debit Spread

Details: Buy to Open 8 Contracts DAL April 17 $60/$50 Put Vertical Spreads @ $2.33 Debit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $1,864 (8 Contracts x $233) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $233 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bearish trade on a stock that is expected to continue its bearish trajectory.

1M/6M Trends: Bearish/Neutral

Relative Strength: 10/10

OptionsPlay Score: 175

Stop Loss: @ $1.17 (50% loss of premium)

View DAL Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Thursday ‘s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View DAL Trade

$PWR

DailyPlay – Closing Trade (PWR) – February 27, 2025

Closing Trade

  • PWR51% loss: Sell to Close 2 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) April 17 $290/$330 Call Vertical Spreads @ $6.70 Credit. DailyPlay Portfolio:  We initially opened this trade on Feb 14 @ $13.75. Our Loss on this trade therefore is $705 per Contract.

$NVDA

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (NVDA) – February 26, 2025

NVDA Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

Technically, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has pulled back to its 200-day moving average level. The stock price has been volatile lately amid news events regarding DeepSeek and, more recently, concerns over potential further tightening of U.S. export rules on the chip sector to restrict China’s advancement in AI. NVDA is set to announce earnings after the close on Wednesday, February 26.  

Fundamentally, NVDA is significantly undervalued. It trades at a premium relative to its peers, but its revenue and EPS growth metrics, along with its profitability, are far superior. Despite its premium valuation, there remains substantial upside potential. NVDA has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 30.57 times compared to the industry average of 19.76 times. Its expected EPS growth is 64.37 percent, significantly higher than the industry average of 13.67 percent. Expected revenue growth stands at 57.38 percent versus 6.71 percent for the industry, and NVDA’s net margins are 55.69 percent compared to the industry average of 19.87 percent.

NVDA – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Long Call Vertical Spread

Direction: Bullish Debit Spread

Details: Buy to Open 4 Contracts NVDA March 7 $135/$145 Call Vertical Spreads @ $2.45 Debit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $980 (4 Contracts x $245) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 1% for this specific trade. We suggest risking only 1% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $245 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Counter Trend Signal: This is a bullish trade on a stock that is expected to bounce higher based on the coming earnings report.

1M/6M Trends: Bearish/ Mildly Bearish

Relative Strength: 4/10

OptionsPlay Score: 109

Stop Loss: @ $1.23 (50% loss of premium)

View NVDA Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Tuesday ‘s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View NVDA Trade

$V

DailyPlay – Opening Trade (V) Closing Trades (AMGN, PEP) – February 25, 2025

Closing Trades

  • AMGN 88% gain: Sell to Close 1 Contract (or 100% of your Contracts) April 17 $275 Call @ $38.03 Credit. DailyPlay Portfolio: By closing this Contract, we will receive $3,803. We initially opening this contract on Feb 2 @ $20.23 Debit. Our gain on this trade is therefore $1,780.
  • PEP 79% gain: Buy to Close 5 Contracts (or 100% of your Contracts) March 28 $140/$135 Put Vertical Spreads @ $0.23 Debit. DailyPlay Portfolio: By closing all 5 Contracts, we will pay $115. We initially opened these 5 Contracts on Feb 13 @ $1.10 Credit. Our gain on this trade is therefore $435.

V Bullish Opening Trade Signal

Investment Rationale

Visa Inc. (V) has maintained strong upside momentum since breaking out of its trading range in mid-January, outperforming the S&P 500 and presenting an opportunity for continued gains.

Fundamentally, V is moderately undervalued and trades at a premium relative to its peers. However, with growth in line with its peers and industry-leading profitability, it still represents significant upside potential. V has a forward P/E ratio of 30.85x compared to the industry average of 17.45x. Its expected EPS growth is 12.74%, slightly below the industry average of 13.19%, while its expected revenue growth of 10.92% outpaces the industry average of 8.37%. V also maintains a strong net margin of 54.27%, significantly higher than the industry average of 20.83%.  

Visa’s latest earnings at the end of January highlight strong growth and innovation driving future gains. The company posted a 10% increase in net revenue and a 14% rise in EPS, driven by robust international expansion and the rapid adoption of real-time payments. Payments volume grew 9%, with US volume up 7% and international volume up 11%. Additionally, Visa announced a stock buyback in Q1, reinforcing its commitment to shareholder value.  

Despite macroeconomic challenges, Visa’s strong financials and continued investment in growth opportunities position it as a compelling long-term investment.

V – Daily

Trade Details

Strategy Details

Strategy: Short Put Vertical Spread

Direction: Bullish Credit Spread

Details: Sell to Open 2 Contracts V April 4 $350/$335 Put Vertical Spreads @ $4.21 Credit per Contract.

Total Risk: This trade has a max risk of $2,158 (2 Contracts x $1,079) based on a hypothetical $100k portfolio risking 2%. We suggest risking only 2% of the value of your portfolio and divide it by $1,079 to select the # contracts for your portfolio.

Trend Continuation Signal: This is a bullish trade on a stock that is expected to continue its bullish trajectory.

1M/6M Trends: Bullish/Bullish

Relative Strength: 10/10

OptionsPlay Score: 82

Stop Loss: @ $8.42 (100% loss to value of premium)

View V Trade

Entering the Trade

Use the following details to enter the trade on your trading platform. Please note that whenever there is a multi-leg option strategy, it should be entered as a single trade. 

PLEASE NOTE that these prices are based on Monday ‘s closing prices. Should the underlying move significantly during the pre-market hours, we will likely adjust the strikes and prices to reflect a more accurate trade entry. 

View V Trade

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